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Matthew D.

Brief

Matthew D. Green warns that by mid‑2026 the economics of large model inference will bifurcate—costly to run in the US but cheap in China—creating a difficult data sovereignty dilemma as organizations must choose where to route sensitive inference and associated data processing.

Why it matters

Matthew D. Green (tweeted 2026-06-13) claims model inference will be expensive in the US but inexpensive in China

Key details

  • He warns this cost split will produce a "nightmare" for data sovereignty, forcing choices about where sensitive inference/data processing occurs
Source evidence

It really seems like we’re going to end up with a choice of doing model inference expensively here in the US or inexpensively in China, and this is going to create a nightmare data sovereignty problem.