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Joel Mokyr’s new book Two Paths to Prosperity (co-authored with Gryfe and Tabalini) provides a sweeping, institutional-cultural explanation for long-run differences between Europe and East Asia. Mokyr frames the divergence not as a simple superiority or failure, but as two durable social-organizational equilibria. Europe moved toward nuclear-family-based societies that generated voluntary, non-kin corporations — universities, guilds, self-governing cities, monasteries — which supplied local public goods and created environments where cooperation among non-relatives could flourish. China, by contrast, evolved around extended kin/clan structures that the imperial state often co-opted; those clan networks proved resilient and shaped political and economic outcomes for centuries. Mokyr credits the medieval Catholic Church (and scholars like Jack Goody and Jonathan Schulz) for shaping kinship norms via restrictive marriage rules and by weakening local rival organizations, a process whose cultural effects outlasted many specific institutions.
The conversation links that long-run divergence to later technological and industrial trajectories. Mokyr emphasizes an 'Industrial Enlightenment' in Europe — a growing belief in progress and the application of scientific knowledge to material improvement beginning in the 16th–17th centuries — as crucial to sustained innovation. He uses vivid contrasts (Romans were skilled but lacked a progress mindset; for example, they never developed spectacles) to show why earlier civilizations did not spawn continuous technological revolutions. For Britain specifically, Mokyr rejects simple religious explanations and credits a market-based apprenticeship system for producing superior skilled labor, which he argues was critical to scaling inventions; he points to his JPE work showing regional shifts and to proxy evidence (British soldiers about two inches taller than French soldiers) as indicators of higher early-life welfare and productivity. He also traces a later German ascendancy to deliberate investment in universities and technical schools (Humboldtian reforms and Technische Hochschulen) that married science and industry by the late 19th century. Throughout, Mokyr stresses the persistence of cultural mindsets and the complex, often unintended, historical processes whereby institutions and culture co-evolve.
Joel Mokyr (guest) argues in Two Paths to Prosperity (with Gryfe and Tabalini) that a core divergence between Europe and China from c.1000–2000 was organizational: Europe developed corporations (universities, monasteries, autonomous cities, guilds) that enabled cooperation beyond kin, whereas China increasingly organized local public goods around extended kinship clans.
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