Polymarket now lets traders predict which minute a goal will be scored in the World Cup final via 15-minute ranges and extra-time bins. The markets treat 90+ ranges specially: if no extra time occurs they resolve 50/50. The author ( @0xd1namit, 2026-07-18 ) explored hedges for guaranteed profit but found no clear arbitrage.
Polymarket launched minute-range markets for the World Cup final, offering bettable ranges for every 15-minute segment of the match plus extra time.
On Polymarket we can now predict which minute the goal will be scored in the World Cup final
There are ranges for every 15 minutes of the match and even for extra time
But important to know: if extra time doesn’t happen, the 90+ ranges will resolve 50/50
I feel like there should be some hedge constructions here with guaranteed profit, but I haven’t found anything worth taking yet