Vinicius Jr.: a Polymarket prediction on 2026-07-31 assigns a 26% chance he leaves Real Madrid, with Arsenal the top-priced destination. The poster—a Barcelona supporter who dislikes Vinicius’s conduct—says they were surprised, aren’t tracking the transfer saga, expect him to remain at Madrid long-term, and views the market probability as unrealistic.
Polymarket traders price a 26% probability that Vinicius Jr. will leave Real Madrid (market noted on 2026-07-31).
Wait, what? Polymarket traders are giving a 26% chance that Vinicius leaves Real Madrid
And Arsenal is currently the most likely destination
Tbh, I was really surprised when I saw this market. I haven’t been following the situation, but I’m pretty sure he’ll stay for a long time
Even though I’m a Barcelona fan and don’t like Vinicius because of his behavior, this still looks unrealistic to me
What do you think?