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Elon Musk said Starlink could deliver the majority of the world's internet in…

Brief

SpaceX announced aggressive timelines: Elon said Starlink could deliver the majority of the world's internet in <10 years; Starlink Mobile launches by end of 2027 and ~1,000 V3 satellites could improve service by Q2 2027. SpaceX targets 2 GW AI compute by year-end and ~10 GW next year; Grok 4.6/4.7 are imminent and Grok 5 will use SpaceX data. Company expects $100B+ ARR, $1T revenue by 2030; Starship 14 set for month's end with daily launches planned next year.

Why it matters

Elon Musk said Starlink could deliver the majority of the world's internet in less than 10 years; Starlink Mobile service will be available by the end of 2027 and ~1,000 Starlink V3 satellites could begin improving service as soon as Q2 2027.

Key details

  • SpaceX expects to end this year with 2 GW of AI compute and cumulative AI compute closer to 10 GW by the end of next year; Grok 4.6 is probably coming out next week, Grok 4.7 is 3–4 weeks out, Grok 5 will incorporate all of SpaceX's data, and AI1 satellites will use NVIDIA Vera Rubin GPUs with launches expected in 2027.
  • SpaceX expects $100B+ ARR by the end of this year and moved an internal projection for $1T in revenue up to 2030 (from 2031); Starship 14 is scheduled for the end of this month, Elon expects daily Starship launches within a year, and he said Starship's heat shield is 'pretty much a solved problem.'
Source evidence

I've never been so bullish on @SpaceX. Here's a summary of their very first Q2 earnings call as a public company:

• Elon Musk says it’s not out of the question that Starlink will deliver the majority of the world’s internet in less than 10 years.
• Grok 4.6 is probably coming out next week, and Grok 4.7 is 3-4 weeks out from today.
• Grok 5 will incorporate all of SpaceX’s data. Elon Musk says this will make Grok the best engineer.
• SpaceX is deploying AI compute faster than anyone else. Their efficiency is also the highest.
• SpaceX expects to end this year with 2GW of AI compute.
• By the end of the next year, SpaceX’s cumulative AI compute will be closer to 10GW.
• SpaceX has desired to build compute exclusively with Nvidia. AI1 satellites will use Nvidia Vera Rubin GPUs.
• SpaceX expects to launch its AI1 Satellites in 2027.
• SpaceX will deploy their satellite rack design on earth, and in space because it will be a more cost-effective design. Cool.
• Elon Musk on the SpaceX team: "We have the smartest, most dedicated team of humans that’s ever existed."
• SpaceX sees enterprise connectivity revenue substantially exceeding the consumer business.
• SpaceX has never lost an enterprise customer before.
• SpaceX is building an enterprise sales team to go out and meet with companies.
• Elon says SpaceX and Tesla are the two best companies at hardware, including China.
• Elon says SpaceX will receive a significant percentage of NVIDIA GPUs going forward.
• SpaceX is expecting to reach $100B+ ARR by the end of this year.
• Elon says their internal projections for SpaceX reaching $1T in revenue has been pushed up to 2030, not 2031. Bullish.
• Elon says Starship 14 is scheduled for the end of this month.
• SpaceX may catch Starship during Flight 14.
• Elon said launch cadence is increased. A year from now he sees SpaceX launching Starship every day.
• SpaceX predicts they will take acquire a lot of customers from AT&T, T-Mobile, and Verizon with their Starlink Mobile service.
• Starlink Mobile service will be available by the end of 2027.
• SpaceX would need about 1,000 Starlink V3 Satellites to begin seeing improvements in overall service. This could happen in Q2 2027.
• Elon says Starship’s heat shield is pretty much a solved problem at this point.

Was a great call! Congrats to the SpaceX team!