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Sony squandered a commanding position

Brief

Sony's internal fragmentation and label-protected economics cost it the digital-music era: in 1999 Nobuyuki Idei publicly unveiled two competing players from separate divisions (Memory Stick Walkman and VAIO Music Clip) while a third effort existed, and Sony forced ATRAC/DRM (no MP3). Apple launched the iPod in 2001 (~450M units) and iTunes sold 4 billion songs, producing a multidecade market-cap reversal.

Why it matters

Sony squandered a commanding position: in 2000 Sony market cap was $100 billion vs Apple $8 billion; by 2011 Apple $376B and Sony $20B; by 2026 Apple $4.5 trillion and Sony $133 billion (author's cited figures).

Key details

  • In 1999 Sony revealed two competing portable players—Nobuyuki Idei showed the Memory Stick Walkman (Personal Audio) and the VAIO Music Clip (PC division)—built by separate divisions with different formats/software while a third internal digital-music effort also existed; Sony had sold 400 million Walkmans and led portable music for 22 years.
  • Sony Music enforced proprietary ATRAC plus clunky DRM (no MP3 playback), blocking products customers wanted; Apple launched the iPod in 2001 (~450 million units sold), which at its peak drove ~40% of Apple revenue, held 70%+ of the U.S. portable-player market, and iTunes sold 4 billion songs in under five years, overtaking Walmart as the top U.S. music retailer—the thread's claim: Sony’s local incentives (labels protecting CD revenue, divisions optimizing themselves) made an iPod impossible inside Sony.
Source evidence

This is a crazy story I had never heard before about one of the worst fumbled bags in history.

In 2000 Sony was worth $100 billion.

Apple was worth $8 billion.

Eleven years later the numbers flipped:

Apple $376 billion, Sony $20 billion.

Twenty-six years later:

Apple $4.5 trillion, Sony $133 billion.

In 1999 Sony held every structural advantage in digital music.

- 400 million Walkmans sold
- A 22-year reign as the portable-music leader
-
A major record label
- World-class hardware

And they saw the digital shift coming early.

At a conference that fall, president Nobuyuki Idei walked on stage to show the future and unveiled TWO devices:

The Memory Stick Walkman from the Personal Audio division.

The VAIO Music Clip from the PC division.

These devices were from two SEPARATE Sony divisions launching competing portable music players at the SAME conference... without either knowing the other existed!

And they had:
- Different formats
- Different software
- Been built largely in ignorance of each other

It was a mess.

Whats crazier is that Sony had a THIRD digital-music effort ALSO underway somewhere else inside the company.

Audience members saw the contradiction quickly:
Sony was competing with itself in public.

Whats worse is they built products that nobody wanted!

Sony Music (protecting CD revenue) forced the hardware groups into proprietary ATRAC and clunky DRM with neither device playing MP3s (the format customers actually used).

Enter Apple.

Apple shipped the iPod in 2001 with no music business to protect and one unified team. Youre familiar with this part:
~450 million units sold
- At its height the iPod drove 40% of Apple’s revenue and held 70%+ of the U.S. portable media player market
- iTunes sold 4 billion songs in under five years and passed Walmart to become America’s #1 music retailer

Sony's full market-cap collapse had other drivers:
- TVs
- Phones
- The 2008 crisis...

But the music franchise was the clearest structural failure.

The interesting part is not that Sony was slow or stupid.

Nobody at Sony did their job badly.

The label was paid to protect CD revenue and it did.

Each hardware division was paid to maximize its own product line and they did.

Every actor behaved rationally inside their local scoreboard and the company still lost the category it invented.

Without changing the business economics, no amount of effort could have produced an iPod.

The Walkman teams could not ship what the label would not allow.

@girdley this fumble HAS to be up there, right?