Correct take. 99% of tokens in the world will get consumed in an enterprise context.
They will be for writing code, combing through insane amounts of life sciences research, automating manufacturing, securing enterprises, detecting fraud, and thousands of other tasks like this that have significant economic value. This is both where the cost of AI can be most justified but also where the impact of parallel workers doing tasks on your behalf is most useful.
Even the agents that most impact consumers will often be wrapped up as just end to end services where the consumer doesn’t think about there being an AI system on the other end, like faster insurance or onboarding to a bank.
The key though is it’s going to take years for diffusion of agents across the economy because workflows have to re-engineered to incorporate AI, which is a complete change to how most work happens today. Anyone who’s expecting this to happen overnight should be updating their timelines.
sean lee (@infinitefun_)
yeah, no.
the average consumer has a near zero need for offloading cognitive work. what they need is their netflix and their doordash — your job as a consumer is literally to chill tf out and stay happy and motivated
if you dont intuit this as obvious you're most likely neck-deep in a muck of motivated reasoning as a consumer founder / VC
okay you can use agents to search the web and synthesize findings on what to buy. okay you have cognitive chores like filing tax returns and sifting thru email. sounds like great features to bake into google and gmail!
on the other hand, your job as a knowledge worker is to convert your cognition into something of economic value — and then because of competitive market dynamics, you'll also need all the cognitive amplification that's available on the market.
the biggest problems need the most cognition. the consumer takes care of problems scoped to themselves. the knowledge workers together take care problems concerning society.
when we look back, we'll remember how AI agents helped us cure cancer, not how your agent helped you order pizza over imessage.
— https://nitter.net/infinitefun_/status/2084850318047666425#m