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The PLA's 100th anniversary is August 1, 2027; 21 of 27 posts graded for full…

Brief

Xi Jinping must rebuild the PLA's senior command before the PLA's 100th anniversary on August 1, 2027: 21 of 27 posts graded for full general/admiral are unconfirmed, only six full generals currently serve, and about twenty senior billets are held by acting lieutenant generals. The purge of Zhang Youxia and Miao Hua's networks has emptied the promotion pool and forced selective fills in discipline inspection and the air force, leaving the Central Military Commission and the rocket force especially vulnerable.

Why it matters

The PLA's 100th anniversary is August 1, 2027; 21 of 27 posts graded for full general or admiral are unconfirmed, only six full generals are serving, and about twenty senior billets are run by lieutenant generals in an acting capacity.

Key details

  • A decade-long promotion pipeline centered on Zhang Youxia and Miao Hua has collapsed—both are gone and many officers they advanced are under investigation; Zhang read December's promotion order and was placed under investigation 33 days later.
  • Xi is filling vacancies selectively (starting with discipline inspection and air force positions deemed 'clean'), while the rocket force (all four of its commanders have fallen) and Central Military Commission slots—normally drawn from serving full generals—remain the hardest gaps to close.
Source evidence

New in @NikkeiAsia: The PLA turns 100 on August 1, 2027. Xi Jinping has 12 months to find generals to put on the reviewing stand, and he does not have them.

Of the 27 posts graded for full general or admiral, 21 have no confirmed occupant. Only six full generals are serving. Some twenty senior billets are run by lieutenant generals in an acting capacity.

He cannot simply promote his way out. For a decade, elevation ran through Zhang Youxia's network or Miao Hua's. Both are gone, and many of the officers they advanced are under investigation. Zhang Youxia read out December's promotion order; 33 days later he was under investigation himself.

So Xi fills the blanks one at a time, starting where the purge cut least: discipline inspection and air force officers who stalled under the old networks and are clean for exactly that reason. The rocket force, where all four commanders in its history have fallen, likely comes last.

The hardest blanks sit on the Central Military Commission itself, whose members are customarily drawn from serving full generals. That pool is nearly empty.

Too many blanks, too few generals, and not much time.

Thanks to @sharp_writing for the fast edit.

asia.nikkei.com/opinion/xi-p…

Link

Xi purged his generals. Now he needs new ones

China's leader must rebuild denuded high command before PLA centenary
asia.nikkei.com