David Sacks: The Chip Stock Crash is Based on Momentum, NOT Fundamentals
@DavidSacks:
“That is the key question here, this correction in the markets, is it driven by fundamentals or is it driven by momentum?
I think it's driven by momentum. Meaning that over the past year, you've had this roughly 10x run up in memory chip stocks, and you've seen this overall huge rise in any stock that's related to the AI boom.
And I think it was inevitable that you'd see a pullback. I think there was something like a 10% pullback in the Nasdaq from the peak.
But when you look at this momentum trade, it was down like 30% or 40%.
You look at what happened in South Korea, you look at what happened with Leopold's fund, and obviously there was a lot of leverage behind this momentum trade, so when it corrects, it's going to be brutal.
But I think that the question again is, does this reveal anything about the fundamentals?
Is the CapEx that's being invested in the AI boom eventually going to deliver ROI, or is this some sort of bubble?
I think there will be a return on all of this CapEx, and this is temporary market volatility amplified by leverage.”
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