If Wisconsin is any indication, the dividing line is 45, not 50.
InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022)
Minnesota Senate Democratic Primary
🟦 Angie Craig: 42% (+2)
🟪 Peggy Flanagan: 40% (=)
——
By Age
🟣 18-34: Flanagan +12
🟣 35-49: Flanagan +6
🔵 50-64: Craig +5
🔵 65+: Craig +18
KSTP/@surveyusa (A) | 7/29-8/4
kstp.com/kstp-news/top-news/…
— https://nitter.net/IAPolls2022/status/2085492773361225782#m