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An ex-OpenAI safety researcher told @xmayeth at an Austin afterparty that…
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An ex-OpenAI safety researcher told @xmayeth at an Austin afterparty that OpenAI's 18 months of internal eval work (calibration, verification, structured reasoning) was effectively replicated by Polymarket's open-source RAG repo. He runs an autonomous agent scoring markets every 20 minutes across 9 sources, using >12% edge entries and quarter-Kelly sizing — yielding +$61,000 in five months; the author tried it with $750 and saw +$340 in week one.