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Michael McDonough built a 30‑minute updated transit index (Hormuz, Suez, Bab…

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Michael McDonough built a 30‑minute updated transit index (Hormuz, Suez, Bab al‑Mandeb, Panama) to verify claims that the Strait of Hormuz has reopened. WSL SHIPPING data recorded traffic dropping from ~100/day to ~4/day after Feb 28 (96% decline over six weeks); reopening should appear in live AIS transits, though many ships are running dark.

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🚢Claims about Hormuz reopening are exactly why we built this:

If ships start moving through the Strait with AIS transponders on, you’ll see it in the index — updated every 30 minutes alongside Suez, Bab al-Mandeb and Panama.

Michael McDonough (@M_McDonough)

🚢A two-week US-Iran ceasefire is now contingent on Iran reopening the Strait of Hormuz.

The test of whether the deal is real isn't in the headlines — it's in vessel transits. @TheTerminal's WSL SHIPPING<GO> data shows traffic collapsed from ~100/day to ~4/day after February 28. That's a 96% drop in six weeks.

A genuine reopening should show up here relatively soon — assuming vessels keep their AIS transponders on, which many have been running dark through the crisis.

— https://nitter.net/M_McDonough/status/2041682689611206947#m